Main Bulletin: The Real Economy Bulletin - First Quarter 2020 In this edition Trends in GDP growth: The first quarter of 2020 saw South Africa enter a third straight quarter of economic decline. But 2020 began a qualitative shift in the national and global economy. In the second half of 2019, the downturn was driven…"
Published in Quarterly Bulletin

  • Year 2020
  • Author(s) Neva Makgetla, Nokwanda Maseko, Kudzai Mataba (TIPS)
The South African economy is affected by the COVID-19 pandemic through: The sharp fall in growth initially in China and then in Europe and the US as a result of measures to contain the virus; and The increasing pressure to exercise social distance and lock down households and businesses to slow the spread…"
Published in Policy Briefs
Main Bulletin: The Real Economy Bulletin - Fourth Quarter 2019 In this edition Trends in GDP growth: GDP growth in 2019, at 0.2%, was the lowest since the global financial crisis in 2008/9. The economy reportedly contracted in the last two quarters of the year as well as the first quarter. The slowdown reflects…"
Published in Quarterly Bulletin

  • Year 2020
  • Author(s) Nokwanda Maseko, Rhulani Hobyani, Neva Makgetla (TIPS)
This policy brief attempts to identify potential risks for South Africa as a result of the COVID-19 epidemic. To that end, it first provides a brief overview of the developments since the first cases of COVID-19 were reported in China. It then focuses on trade, identifying South Africa’s top exports to and imports…"
Published in Policy Briefs
Main Bulletin: The Real Economy Bulletin - Third Quarter 2019   In this edition GDP growth: For the second time this year, the GDP contracted in the third quarter of 2019. In the past two years, the economy has reportedly shrunk in four quarters, underscoring the effects of the slowdown. Reported GDP growth has also…"
Published in Quarterly Bulletin
Main Bulletin: The Real Economy Bulletin - Second Quarter 2019   In this edition GDP growth: Statistics South Africa reported rapid growth in the GDP in the second quarter, at 0.8% in actual terms – that is, 3% at an annualised rate. The data continue the increased volatility in the GDP data over the past…"
Published in Quarterly Bulletin
Main Bulletin: The Real Economy Bulletin - First Quarter 2019   In this edition GDP growth: The GDP declined in the first quarter of 2019, while the economy lost jobs. The downturn continues the trend of volatile growth rates that began five years ago. Previous quarterly downturns in this period, however, were driven by agriculture;…"
Published in Quarterly Bulletin
Main Bulletin: The Real Economy Bulletin - Third Quarter 2018  In this edition GDP growth: South Africa’s third quarter GDP grew by an estimated 0.6% in the second quarter of 2018, reversing the contraction experienced in the first and second quarter of the year. Significant differences emerged between sectors, however, with growth in agriculture and…"
Published in Quarterly Bulletin