Presentations
Neva Makgetla: TIPS COVID-19 Tracker: The economy and the pandemic
Owen Willcox: The macroeconomic response to the COVID crisis
Gaylor Montmasson-Clair: A case for a green and just economic stimulus package
Media
Why QE is the best way to fund stimulus needed to get SA throughCovid-19 crisis (LynleyDonnelly - Business Day 4 June 2020)
Placing green stimulus at heart of South Africa's postpandemic recovery would yield big co-benefits (Terence Creamer - Engineering News 4 June 2020)
Background
The 2020 forecast for South Africa's economic growth at -7% would be the worst since democracy, and is likely to come with massive job losses and firms closing down. There are however options to mitigate the economic impact of the disease. They include a shift in the macro-economic approach as well as ramping up new industries, including renewables. This Development Dialogue will start with a review of the latest trends in the pandemic and the economy, and then consider at-scale responses to the economic downturn.
About the Speakers
Baba-Tamana Gqubule is a senior economist at TIPS and has experience as a Policy Analyst at the Economic Development Department.
Owen Willcox is a Principal Consultant at Oxford Policy Management and previously worked at National Treasury for 11 years.
Gaylor Montmasson-Clair is a senior economist at TIPS. Gaylor has written extensively on the green economy, renewables and the just transition.
Neva Makgetla is a senior economist at TIPS. Dr Makgetla has published widely on the South African economy and worked for many years in government.
Date: Thursday 30 April 2020
Time: 09h30 – 10h30
ZOOM: Meeting ID: 823 5038 3340
Password: 011043
14:00 - 14:10 Opening and welcome by chairperson: Tshediso Matona
14:10 - 15:30 Presentations and discussion:
15:30 - 16:00 Open Discussion
16:00 Closure and light snacks
Background
Small Business has been put forward as an important contributor towards economic growth, job creation and redress but faces many headwinds in South Africa that have hampered their development. Access to finance and more recently challenges around climate change are key barriers.
This Development Dialogue will provide an overview of recent trends in small business in South Africa, and present research undertaken on credit guarantees and climate change adaptation, with discussion on some of the options and proposals to strengthen the SME eco-system.
About the Speakers
Tshediso Matona is the Secretary of Planning in the National Planning Commission
Saul Levin is the executive director of TIPS and has experience in industrial finance and small business development.
Neva Makgetla is a senior economist at TIPS. Makgetla has published widely on the South African economy and worked for many years in government.
Gabriel Davel is the CEO for the Centre for Credit Market Development and was previously the CEO of the National Credit Regulator.
Shakespear Mudombi and Muhammed Patel are researchers at TIPS in the field of sustainable growth and green economy.
ADDITIONAL PRESENTATIONS BY GABRIEL DAVEL
Partial guarantee schemes and SME lending
Facility for credit risk mitigation on SME loan protfolios
From 13:30 Arrival and coffee / tea
14:00 - 14:00 Opening and welcome by chairperson: Dr Faizel Ismail
14:15 - 15:15 Presentation by Dr Rob Davies
15:15 - 15:45 Discussants: Ambassador Xavier Carim and Sanusha Naidu
15:45 - 16:15 Discussion
16:15 Closure and light snacks
Copies of the book will be on sale after the launch
Background
The outcomes of trade negotiations have never been shaped by rational considerations of relative advantage alone - whether comparative or competitive. Struggle and competition have always profoundly affected trade outcomes. This book presents an analysis of the political economy of trade negotiations over the past quarter century on two main fronts: the multi-lateral and those pertaining to regional integration on the African continent. The book covers the evolution of the multi-lateral trading system, the rise of the World Trade Organization, the impact and outcomes of the global economic crisis, to the current crisis of multi-lateralism. The second part of the book focuses on regional integration in Africa as a tool for industrialisation and development.
About the Speakers
Rob Davies: Dr Rob Davies has been involved in international trade and regional integration for over 25 years, as the former Minister of Trade and Industry, the Deputy Minister of Trade and Industry, and as a member of the parliamentary portfolio committee on trade and industry.
Faizel Ismail: Dr Faizel Ismail is the Director of the Nelson Mandela School of Public Governance at UCT, a Professor at the UCT School of Economics, and a TIPS Research Associate. He has previously been an advisor to the Department of Trade and Industry on International Trade and Special Envoy on the African Growth and Opportunity Act, and served as the Ambassador Permanent Representative of South Africa to the WTO (2010-2014).
Xavier Carim: Ambassador Xavier Carim is the Deputy Director General responsible for the International Trade and Economic Development Division at the Department of Trade and Industry. He was previously the former South African Permanent Representative of South Africa to the WTO.
Sanusha Naidu: Sanusha Naidu is a foreign policy specialist based with the Institute for Global Dialogue. She has previously worked for the Open Society Foundation and Fahamu, and is widely published on Africa's foreign policy.
Date: Friday 28 February 2020
Time: 14h00 - 16h15
Venue: TIPS Boardroom, 234 Lange Street, Nieuw Muckleneuk, Pretoria
RSVP by email: daphney@tips.org.za to confirm attendance
Background
South Africa, in line with global trends, aims to transition to an inclusive green economy. Industrial policy is core to this process, notably to ensure a ‘just transition’, consisting of maximising the benefits of the transition and minimising the risks associated with not transitioning; but done in line with South Africa’s capabilities to minimise the short-term trade-offs and threats. This requires a careful alignment of South Africa’s industrial policy with the inclusive green economy paradigm to support the country’s green industrial development.
In order to inform such a transformation, TIPS, within the framework of a UN Environment project financed by the EU, conducted a review of South Africa’s industrial policy from an inclusive green economy lens. It investigated the extent to which South Africa’s industrial policy is responding to, if not driving, the country’s transition to an inclusive green economy.
The workshop aims to share findings and recommendations from the research and gather insights from key stakeholders on their relevance and possible implementation. The review applies a methodology developed by UN Environment and looks at policy process, policy design and policy implementation with regards to the transition to green industrial development.
Programme
08h30 – 09h00: Registration and arrival
09h00 – 09h15: Opening and welcome, Department of environment Forestry and Fisheries (DEFF) and Department of Trade and Industry (the dti)
09h15 – 09h30: Presentation of global trends on green industrial policy, UN Environment
09h30 – 10h00: Presentations of review findings, TIPS
10h00 – 11h45: Discussion
11h45 – 12h00: Closure
12h00: Lunch
RSVP: natasha@tips.org.za
AGENDA
14:15 - 14:30 Arrival and coffee / tea
14:30 - 14:45 Opening and welcome by chairperson
14:45 - 16:00 Presentations:
Neva Makgetla: Unemployment and GDP in perspective
Rudi Dicks: Accelerating industrial policy to drive growth
16:00 - 16:30 Discussion
16:30 Closure and light snacks
BACKGROUND
The latest jobs numbers and GDP figures point to the urgency of a strategy to put the economy on an upward trajectory. South Africa has huge capacity, but the vicious cycle of slow growth from 2015 is eroding the resilience of the economy and policy space. In this context, industrial policy has been put forward as an enabler, with the Presidency committed to driving growth through a more systematic approach to industry support and unblocking constraints.
This development dialogue will outline the recent economic data and discuss the potential role for industrial policy and stimulus options.
ABOUT THE SPEAKERS
Rudi Dicks is the outcome 4 facilitator in the Department of Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation in the Presidency.
Neva Makgetla is a senior economist at TIPS. Makgetla has published widely on the South African economy and worked for many years in government, most recently as Deputy Director General for Policy in the Economics Development Department, as well as in COSATU.
AGENDA
10:00 - 10:15 Arrival and coffee / tea
10:15 - 10:30 Opening and welcome by Chairperson: Xolelwa Mlumbi
10:30 - 12:00 Presentations:
Neva Makgetla: South Africa's exports and inclusive industrialisation
Faizel Ismail: A 'Developmental Regionalism' approach to the AfCFTA
Christopher Wood: Tracking imports, trends and anomalies
12:00 - 12:45 Discussion
12:45 Lunch
BACKGROUND
Exports are often seen as a necessary feature for industrialisation. Looking at the basket of South Africa's exported products, is there an opportunity in expanding or shifting exports to improve the industrial capacity of the country? How does the region feature within South Africa's exports? Expanding exports to neighbouring countries without comparable imports have seen significant trade imbalances. Will the African Continental Free Trade Agreement result in improved exports and imports, and ultimately support an industrialisation strategy for African economies? This Development Dialogue aims to discuss some of these challenges.
ABOUT THE SPEAKERS
Xolelwa Mlumbi is the Deputy Director-General responsible for the International Trade and Economic Development (ITED) division at the Department of Trade and Industry.
Neva Makgetla is a senior economist at TIPS. Makgetla has published widely on the South African economy and worked for many years in government, most recently as Deputy Director General for Policy in the Economics Development Department, as well as in COSATU.
Dr Faizel Ismail is an Adjunct Professor at the UCT School of Economics and a TIPS Research Associate. He has previously been an advisor to the dti on International Trade and Special Envoy on the African Growth and Opportunity Act and served as the Ambassador Permanent Representative of South Africa to the WTO (2010-2014).
Christopher Wood is an economist at TIPS focusing on trade and industry policy. He set up the TIPS import tracker, which monitors the trends, spikes and highest imports. Chris previously worked as a researcher in economic diplomacy at the South African Institute of International Affairs.
10:30 - 10:45: Opening and Welcome
10:45 - 12:00: Presentations:
12:30: Lunch
This Development Dialogue aims to discuss some of the challenges and issues for consideration in how the education system impacts on industrial capacity and areas that require attention.
RSVP by email: rozale@tips.org.za
10:30 - 10:45: Opening and Welcome
10:45 - 12:00: Presentations by:
12:30: Lunch
BACKGROUND
The negotiations for the Continental Free Trade Agreement (CFTA) are underway. Among other things, this massive undertaking has the potential to establish a sizeable market for a range of manufactured products and in doing so support the industrialisation of African countries. Yet it holds many pitfalls that could undermine industrial capacity and contribute to deindustrialisation in those countries with existing capacity.
This Development Dialogue aims to discuss some of the challenges and issues for consideration in the negotiation of the CFTA and its alignment with Africa’s ambition of supporting industrialisation on the continent.
ABOUT THE SPEAKERS
Carlos Lopes: Professor Lopes is a Bissau-Guinean development economist, who served as the eighth Executive Secretary of the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (2012-2016). He is a Professor at the Mandela School of Public Governance, UCT and Visiting Professor at Sciences Po, Paris. In 2017 he was a Visiting fellow at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford. Lopes previously served the United Nations as Kofi Annan‘s Political Director, Head of Policy at UNDP, Director of the United Nations System Staff College and Executive Director of the United Nations Institute for Training and Research (UNITAR). He is a Chatham House Associate Fellow and currently serves as the African Union High representative for negotiations with Europe.
Faizel Ismail: Dr Faizel Ismail is an Adjunct Professor at the UCT School of Economics and a TIPS Research Associate. He has previously been an advisor to the Department of Trade and Industry on International Trade and Special Envoy on the African Growth and Opportunity Act, and served as the Ambassador Permanent Representative of South Africa to the WTO (2010-2014).
9:30 - 9:45: Opening and Welcome
9:45 - 12:00: Presentations and discussion of research findings
Global trends in the circular economy: Experience from developing countries - Nilgün Tas (UNIDO)
South Africa's experience with industrial symbiosis - Henry Nuwarinda, National Cleaner Production Centre of South Africa (NCPC-SA)
Tea
Advancing the development of biomaterials in South Africa - Chistopher Wood and Bhavna Deonarain (TIPS)
Fostering the alien vegetation added value chain through industrial symbiosis - Nicola Jenkin (Pinpoint Sustainability)
12:00 - 13:00 Discussion
13:00: Lunch
BACKGROUND
A global transition towards sustainable development is currently underway. A key aspect of this transition is to shift from a linear model of development, based on production, use and disposal, to a circular economy. A circular economy aims to build closed-loop systems relying on reuse, remanufacturing and recycling. Opportunities abound at the household, commercial, industrial and natural resource management levels. As with all transitions, numerous challenges remain. This Development Dialogue aims to discuss the interplay between industrial development and the circular economy, looking at how South Africa, and more broadly developing economies, can harness opportunities arising from the circular economy to foster economic development, support social progress and preserve environmental resources.
RSVP by email: natasha@tips.org.za
AGENDA
9:30 - 9:45: Opening and Welcome - Chantal Ramcharan-Kotze (WRC)
9:45 - 12:00: Presentation and discussion of research findings
Global water and sanitation market dynamics: Implications from South Africa's industrial development - Gaylor Montmasson-Clair (TIPS)
Desalination in South Africa: Panacea or peril for industrial development? - Muhammed Patel (TIPS)
Tea
Opportunities and constraints for next generation sanitation and industrial development in South Africa - Shakespear Mudombi (TIPS)
Protection and creating jobs through better water management - Mike Ward (CSV)
12:00 - 13:00 Panel discussion, facilitated by Chantal Ramcharan-Kotze (WRC)
13:00: Lunch
BACKGROUND
Water is considered the most precious and, at the same time, the most wasted natural resource. From a trade and industry perspective, water and sanitation are intertwined with technology, industrial and economicdevelopment. Water security and access to modern water and sanitation services rely on technology and industrial development, while industrial development, and more broadly, economic development, depend on water security and modern water and sanitation services. The centrality of water and sanitation drives a spectrum of activities to provide safe, affordable and modern access to water and sanitation services to all. This Development Dialogue aims to discuss the interplay between South Africa's industrial development and water management, looking at water and sanitation issues in the country as both a potential inhibitor and driver of industrial development, employment creation and sustainable development.
DOWNLOAD TIPS RESEARCH ON WATER AND SANITATION
Global water and sanitation market dynamics Implications for South Africa’s industrial development
Forward looking approach to next generation sanitation and industrial development in South Africa
Desalination in South Africa Panacea or peril for industrial development
Date: Tuesday 21 August 2018
Time: 9h30 – 13h00
Venue: TIPS Boardroom, 234 Lange St, Nieuw Muckleneuk, Pretoria
AGENDA
09:30–09:45 Opening and Welcome: Nadira Bayat (Global Economic Governance Africa)
09:45–10:45 Presentation and discussion of research findings: Border economies
10:45–11:00 Tea break
11:00–11:40 Presentation and discussion of research findings: Border logistics
11:40–12:00 Comment by respondent (TBC)
12:00–13:00 Panel discussion with presenters, facilitated by Catherine Grant (Tutwa Consulting)
13:00: Lunch
BACKGROUND
Land borders in Southern Africa play a vital role, both as linkage points for the regional economy, and as focal points for growth and economic activity. Efficient movement of goods across borders is essential to the development of regional value chains and an integrated Southern African economy. Economic actors at the border – such as truckers, clearing agents, or small-scale traders – play a vital facilitating role in this integration process, but also risk displacement as efforts to improve logistics change the environment in which they operate. Placing trade facilitation reforms in the context of both border economies and the broader logistics networks in the region is therefore vital to promoting an inclusive and effective integration programme.
This Development Dialogue will analyse the linkages between borders as crossing points and borders as economic nodes, and the tensions between these two imperatives. Researchers will present the results of fieldwork at the Betbridge and Chirundu borders; as well as a large-scale study on logistics in SADC.
PRESENTERS
Christopher Wood is an economist at TIPS focusing on trade and industry policy. He previously worked as a researcher in economic diplomacy at the South African Institute of International Affairs, and has completed consulting work with Oxford Analytica, Executive Research Associates, the Swiss South Africa Joint Research Programme, and a leading South African trade union. His research areas include trade and industrial policy, global economic governance, and financial regulatory reform. He holds a Masters in Development Studies from the University of the Witwatersrand, and a Bachelor of Social Science in Economics and Political Science from the University of KwaZulu-Natal.
Dale Mudenda is a lecturer at the University of Zambia (UNZA) in the Department of Economics. He holds PhD from the University of Cape Town in South Africa and an MA from the University of Malawi. He has experience in consultancies, applied research, policy analysis, training and capacity building. He has provided policy consultation services to multilateral, regional and national organisations such as the World Bank, WHO, Ministries of health, commerce trade and industry and national development planning covering areas such as pay reforms, public expenditure tracking, and health care Financing and trade International trade. He has also been a member of the Ministry of Commerce Trade and Industry trade working group.
Anna Ngarachu is a Researcher at Tutwa Consulting Group. She holds an Honours degree in Economic Science from the University of the Witwatersrand, and a Core Credentials of Readiness Certificate from the Harvard Business School. At Tutwa, Anna has worked in the areas of sustainability standards focusing on SME and multinational corporation linkages; examined manufacturing capacity utilisation rates in African countries; collaborated on the trade section of the South African Systematic Country Diagnostic and assisted in the EU Transformation project in the wines and spirits sector.
Sandy Lowitt is a TIPS Research Associate. She holds a Master of Commerce from Wits University in Economics. She established the Economics Department in the Gauteng Provincial Government in 1995 and remained at with GPG until 2006. While specialising in economic research and industrial policy and strategy she also created and ran Blue IQ, which delivered projects such as the Gautrain, the Innovation Hub and the automotive supplier park. Since leaving the government, Sandy has remained active in public policy research and strategy development.
Agenda
10:00 - 10:15 Opening and Welcome: Chairperson (Rudi Dicks, DPME)
10:15 - 12:00 Presentation and discussion of research findings
12:00 - 13:00 Panel discussion with presenters, facilitated by Rudi Dicks
13:00: Lunch
Background
At the birth of its democracy South Africa inherited a highly concentrated economy, dominated by a few large companies. Democracy brought with it the promise of change in the structure of the economy. To what extent have there been real shifts in ownership over the past 20 years? And how do these shifts affect the economy and the broader society? Critical questions relate to the extent of concentrated ownership and the implications for income and asset equality, industrialization, the cost structure of the economy and job creation.
The Development Dialogue will share research undertaken on this important issue and consider different aspects of the corporate landscape and its impact on the economy.
Presenters
Neva Makgetla is a senior economist at TIPS. Makgetla has published widely on the South African economy and worked for many years in government, most recently as Deputy Director General for Policy in the Economics Development Department, as well as in COSATU.
Thando Vilakazi is a senior researcher at the Centre for Competition, Regulation and Economic Development (CCRED). Thando works in the competition field and has worked in the Policy and Research Division at the Competition Commission of South Africa.
Simon Roberts is the director of CCRED and is a professor at the University of Johannesburg, in the Economics and Econometrics Department. He has worked extensively in competition matters and previously held the position of chief economist at the Competition Commission.
Duma Gqubule is the director of the Centre for Economic Development and Transformation (CEDT). Duma has spent the past two decades as a financial journalist, analyst, advisor and consultant on issues of economic development and transformation.