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Wednesday, 06 January 2021

Covid-19 stems ‘white’ gold rush

Mail & Guardian -  30 November 2020 by Sarah Smit

Read online at Mail & Guardian.

Daily Maverick - 29 November 2020  by Alexander Parker

Read online at Daily Maverick.

Daily Maverick - 29 November 2020  by Muhammed Patel and Gaylor Montmasson-Clair

Read online at Daily Maverick.

Engineering News -  27 November 2020 by  Irma Venter

Read online at Engineering News.

Business Day - 23 November 2020 by Neva Makgetla (TIPS Senior Economist)

Read online at Business Day.

Or read as a PDF.

 

Financial Mail  - 19 November 2020 by Claire Bisseker

Read online at Financial Mail.

Or read as a PDF.

Global Center on Adaptation - 17 September 2020 by Andrew Wright

Read online at Global Center on Adaptation.

This working paper provides an initial overview of the impacts and outcomes of the Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE) policy. It also draws on business responses to a questionnaire to gain insights into the implementation process. The paper evaluates the BBBEE Codes against their core objectives – representivity in ownership, management and skilled occupations; support for suppliers and other small businesses; and skills development. It analyses the BBBEE ratings achieved by industry. When possible, it estimates the value of the impacts and outcomes. Based on the analysis, the final section notes areas where implementation could be better aligned with the over-arching aim of inclusive industrialisation. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Competition, Business Unity South Africa and its member associations, and the Manufacturing Circle assisted in reviewing and circulating the questionnaire. 

 

The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in a slowdown in international trade, and disrupted global supply chains and the organisation of work. In addition, pre-existing inequalities and structural constraints on growth have been exacerbated. Economic policy interventions that have been implemented in response to the pandemic have highlighted pre-existing tensions between key economic players across the globe. This context brings new challenges, opportunities and imperatives for industrial policy, in South Africa, the region and internationally. The Forum seeks to provide a platform for key economic policy players to collectively reflect on the socio-economic challenges brought by the COVID-19 pandemic, unpack the basic assumptions embedded within approaches to industrial policy within the South African and regional context, and explore opportunities and prospects for economic recovery and reconstruction.

It is being held in partnership with the South African Research Chair in Industrial Development (SARChI) at the University of Johannesburg, and in association with the Department of Trade, Industry and Competition (the dtic).  

The Forum will be held online.
  
 
 

TIPS FORUM SPEAKER AND MODERATOR BIOS

MEDIA RELEASES:

Dealing with the crisis before the crisis requires economic reconstruction

Rethinking industrialisation in response to COVID-19

Context for the conference

Economic recovery since the 2008/09 financial crisis, across countries and within economies, has been uneven. South Africa has experienced relatively stagnant GDP growth and uneven patterns of growth across and within its sectors, as well as high levels of inequality and unemployment, with the absorption rate well below that of other upper-middle-income countries. In addition, participation in the South African economy continues to be shaped by race, gender, class and geographical location. The impact of COVID-19 is likely to result in severe shifts in the global and domestic political economy and likely to deepen pre-existing structural constraints on growth in the medium to long term.   

The impact of COVID-19 on South Africa’s trading partners is likely to result in long-term subdued foreign demand for South African goods and services. Traditional pathways to industrialisation, i.e. the dynamics and processes of external and domestic linkages that facilitate structural change, are being challenged. In this context, debates related to the appropriate application of specific industrial policy tools which aim to facilitate transformative structural change, have resurfaced.

Assessing and addressing the impact of the pandemic on African economies and societies is necessary to inform and tailor the appropriate responses of African governments to facilitate economic recovery, while expanding access for the most vulnerable groups in society to participate in the economy.

African governments have implemented stimulus packages, containment measures and other necessary restrictions to limit the spread of the virus and to sustain and balance the economy. The implementation of public policy measures, in response to the pandemic, has triggered questions about the systemic resilience of global and domestic value chains, as well as renewed interest in advocating for the diversification and localisation of production and shorter supply chains in certain sectors that can adapt in times of crisis.

The recovery will require mobilising efforts between public, private, national and regional leaders across a number of key areas. The 2021 Forum will explore these issues and bring together academics, policymakers and practitioners involved in the various aspects of regional industrial development. The aim is to deepen the understanding of a cross-section of issues, and the related opportunities and challenges.

Monday, 21 December 2020

Import Tracker - Q3 2020

South Africa had a trade surplus of R109 billion in the third quarter of 2020, up from R6 billion in the third quarter of 2019. In constant 2020 Rand, this is the highest trade surplus South Africa has had in the past decade. The high surplus appears to be the result of low imports due to lower crude oil imports, as well as the increased spread of COVID-19 pandemic among major trade partners like Germany and the United State, while exports surpassed pre-COVID-19 levels due to high exports to China and the US. In the year to the third quarter of 2020, exports grew by 10% to R388 billion, from R353 billion in the third quarter of 2019. However, between the third quarter of 2010 and the third quarter of 2020, exports grew by 49%. In contrast, imports declined by 20% to R278 billion in the year to the third quarter of 2020, and grew just 8% between the third quarter of 2010 and the third quarter of 2020.

See Imports localisation and supply chain disruption study - Third Quarter 2020

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